50th Anniversary of the Metaphorical Butterfly Effect since Lorenz (1972): Multistability, Multiscale Predictability, and Sensitivity in Numerical Models

This year marks the 50th anniversary of the metaphorical butterfly effect, born from Edward Lorenz's 1963 work on initial condition sensitivity. In 1972, it became a metaphor for illustrating how minor changes could yield an organized system. •Lorenz Models: Chaos and Regime Changes: Explore Lorenz...

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Formato:	Online
Idioma:	inglês
Publicado em:	MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 2023
Assuntos:	Lorenz model chaos instability saddle point SDIC sensitivities finite predictability ill-conditioned El Niño EOF ISOMAP La Niña Niño 3.4 PCA SST quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) typhoon time-lagged ensemble cloud-resolving model categorical statistics Philippines predictability predictions Laplace’s demon butterfly effect weather forecasts MM5 Rayleigh–Bénard convection data assimilation observation placement forecast sensitivity chaotic regimes low-order modeling dual nature generalized Lorenz model multistability tropical clouds radiation oscillations ventilation effect cloud resolving model cloud dynamics sensitive dependence on initial conditions Zika toy model numerical weather prediction (NWP) Courant–Friedrichs–Lewy (CFL) criterion Purdue regional climate model (PRCM) convective available potential energy (CAPE) shallow water equations (SWE) Bernoulli function dynamics system forward–backward scheme leapfrog scheme thema EDItEUR::G Reference, Information and Interdisciplinary subjects::GP Research and information: general thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RB Earth sciences::RBP Meteorology and climatology
Acesso em linha:	ONIX_20231130_9783036589107_35
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