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50th Anniversary of the Metaphorical Butterfly Effect since Lorenz (1972): Multistability, Multiscale Predictability, and Sensitivity in Numerical Models

This year marks the 50th anniversary of the metaphorical butterfly effect, born from Edward Lorenz's 1963 work on initial condition sensitivity. In 1972, it became a metaphor for illustrating how minor changes could yield an organized system. •Lorenz Models: Chaos and Regime Changes: Explore Lorenz...

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Format: Online
Idioma:anglès
Publicat: MDPI - Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute 2023
Matèries:
Lorenz model
chaos
instability
saddle point
SDIC
sensitivities
finite predictability
ill-conditioned
El Niño
EOF
ISOMAP
La Niña
Niño 3.4
PCA
SST
quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF)
typhoon
time-lagged ensemble
cloud-resolving model
categorical statistics
Philippines
predictability
predictions
Laplace’s demon
butterfly effect
weather forecasts
MM5
Rayleigh–Bénard convection
data assimilation
observation placement
forecast sensitivity
chaotic regimes
low-order modeling
dual nature
generalized Lorenz model
multistability
tropical clouds
radiation
oscillations
ventilation effect
cloud resolving model
cloud dynamics
sensitive dependence on initial conditions
Zika toy model
numerical weather prediction (NWP)
Courant–Friedrichs–Lewy (CFL) criterion
Purdue regional climate model (PRCM)
convective available potential energy (CAPE)
shallow water equations (SWE)
Bernoulli function
dynamics system
forward–backward scheme
leapfrog scheme
thema EDItEUR::G Reference, Information and Interdisciplinary subjects::GP Research and information: general
thema EDItEUR::R Earth Sciences, Geography, Environment, Planning::RB Earth sciences::RBP Meteorology and climatology
Accés en línia:ONIX_20231130_9783036589107_35
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